WNBAGM

Katie Lou Samuelson

Seattle Storm · F · 2026 stats, contract & trade value

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Talent score
23
#157 in the W
Trade value
21
#165 in the W
Contract surplus
-5.4
talent vs. salary expectation
Position
F
Talent & trade value 20–9966+ star40–65 rotationunder 40 fringe

Over her deal through 2027, Samuelson is producing 5.4 pts below what her salary should buy — contract surplus averages every remaining year, with future seasons projected on the league aging curve and discounted.

Katie Lou Samuelson headshot

Katie Lou Samuelson

23
Seattle Storm · F · age 29
Value & contract
Talent
23
Replacement
Trade value
21
Replacement
Surplus
-5.4
Overpaid
Talent trend23– flat
954320
LG AVG
Last 30 daysToday
Contract2 yrs · $840K gtd
2026$420KGTD
2027$420KGTD
GuaranteedNon-guaranteedTeam option

Box scoreper game · 32 GP
PoorGreatpercentile vs qualified
Points
19
4.4
Assists
15
0.8
Rebounds
26
2.1
Usage
8
12.0 %
Efficiency
49
55 % TS
On-court impactwRAPM · 1,024 poss · 2026-09-13
PoorGreatpercentile vs qualified
Offense
17
−1.4
Defense
6
−2.5

wRAPM — her effect on team net scoring per 100 possessions, adjusted for teammates and opponents.

A balanced profile without a standout skill; defense is the soft spot. Reads as a Replacement-level talent.
Talent outlook
2026
23 talent
2027
21 proj
20–28
2028 · FA
20 proj
20–28

Projected per stat on the fitted league aging curves (scoring fades, rebounding holds, minutes drive late decline) — 4,700 player-seasons, 1997–2025. Ranges are 10th–90th percentile from held-out backtest error. Years marked FA are past her current deal — projection only.

Career stats
SeasonTeamGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTOVFG%3P%FT%
2019CHI207.62.40.80.30.30.10.231.6%27.6%80.0%
2020DAL2219.95.02.41.40.70.40.541.7%31.7%73.3%
2021SEA2721.07.03.51.70.70.31.145.6%35.1%73.1%
2022LAS3229.59.73.01.91.00.21.137.3%35.2%83.7%
2024IND3718.24.32.31.40.30.20.534.9%33.0%96.0%
2026SEA3215.34.42.10.80.80.10.540.5%32.1%78.6%
Projected · 2027–2028
SeasonTalentPPGRPGAPG
2027214.32.00.9
2028203.91.90.8

Future-year talent figures above are projections on the league aging curve (fit from 4,692 player-seasons, 1997–2025), not measurements — they fade in the display because they should.How the projections work →

Best team fits

Her attribute profile scored against each team's current roster deficits — where she'd fill the biggest hole, not just where she'd be fun.

Portland Fire17-27 · thinnest in rebounding / size + scoring · 1.9M space
build this trade · fit score 22
New York Liberty26-18 · thinnest in playmaking / ball-handling + perimeter defense · 0.4M space
build this trade · fit score 22
Los Angeles Sparks16-28 · thinnest in playmaking / ball-handling + perimeter defense · 0.5M space
build this trade · fit score 21

What would it take?

The fair package each team would have to send for Katie Lou Samuelson, built and graded by the same engine that grades trades. A deal only appears if it’s cap-legal both ways and lands within one letter grade on both sides — the model’s bar for a fair trade. Sorted by which teams most need her; open one in the machine to tweak it.

Toronto Tempo sendsTOR C+ · SEA C+
Temi Fagbenle
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Phoenix Mercury sendsPHX C+ · SEA B-
Valeriane Ayayi
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Indiana Fever sendsIND C · SEA B-
Monique Billings
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Las Vegas Aces sendsLV C · SEA B-
Jewell Loyd
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Portland Fire sendsPOR C+ · SEA B-
Amy Okonkwo
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New York Liberty sendsNY C · SEA B
Marine Fauthoux
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Dallas Wings sendsDAL C · SEA B
Maddy Siegrist
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Atlanta Dream sendsATL C+ · SEA B-
Te-Hina Paopao
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Los Angeles Sparks sendsLA C+ · SEA B
Chance Gray
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Connecticut Sun sendsCONN C · SEA B-
Nell Angloma
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Golden State Valkyries sendsGSV C · SEA B-
Kayla Thornton
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Washington Mystics sendsWSH C+ · SEA B-
Lucy Olsen
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A starting point, not a prediction — each package is the fewest fair pieces the model can assemble, and a real deal would flex around roster fit and both front offices.

Seattle Storm teammates

Aging comps

The closest player-seasons in league history (1997–2025) to her current age, per-36 profile, and role — the careers her projection walks alongside.

  • Jennifer Lacy · 2011 · age 29
  • La'Keshia Frett · 2004 · age 30
  • Belinda Snell · 2009 · age 29

Durability context: 57% of her 40 nearest comps had no qualified season two years on — projection ranges assume she's still playing.

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