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Katie Lou Samuelson

Seattle Storm · F · 2026 stats, contract & trade value

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Talent score
25
#148 in the W
Trade value
23
#150 in the W
Contract surplus
-5.4
talent vs. salary expectation
Position
F
Talent & trade value 20–9966+ star40–65 rotationunder 40 fringe

Over her deal through 2027, Samuelson is producing 5.4 pts below what her salary should buy — contract surplus averages every remaining year, with future seasons projected on the league aging curve and discounted.

KS

Katie Lou Samuelson

25
Seattle Storm · F · age 29
Salary: $420KYears left: 2
Contract outlook
2026
$420K
25 talent
2027
$420K
23 proj
2030
2028
FA
21 proj
2029

Projected per stat on the fitted league aging curves (scoring fades, rebounding holds, minutes drive late decline) — 4,700 player-seasons, 1997–2025. Ranges are 10th–90th percentile from held-out backtest error. Years marked FA are past her current deal — projection only.

Career stats
SeasonTeamGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTOVFG%3P%FT%
2019CHI207.62.40.80.30.30.10.231.6%27.6%80.0%
2020DAL2219.95.02.41.40.70.40.541.7%31.7%73.3%
2021SEA2721.07.03.51.70.70.31.145.6%35.1%73.1%
2022LAS3229.59.73.01.91.00.21.137.3%35.2%83.7%
2024IND3718.24.32.31.40.30.20.534.9%33.0%96.0%
2026SEA2815.14.52.10.70.70.00.542.3%34.3%76.0%
Projected · 2027–2028
SeasonTalentPPGRPGAPG
2027234.42.00.8
2028214.01.90.8

Future-year talent figures above are projections on the league aging curve (fit from 4,692 player-seasons, 1997–2025), not measurements — they fade in the display because they should.How the projections work →

Best team fits

Her attribute profile scored against each team's current roster deficits — where she'd fill the biggest hole, not just where she'd be fun.

Toronto Tempo10-23 · thinnest in perimeter defense + rebounding / size · 0.6M space
build this trade · fit score 25
Portland Fire14-20 · thinnest in rebounding / size + scoring · 1.9M space
build this trade · fit score 20
Los Angeles Sparks12-21 · thinnest in playmaking / ball-handling + perimeter defense · 1.0M space
build this trade · fit score 20

What would it take?

A fair package each interested team would have to send for Katie Lou Samuelson — assembled and priced by the same engine that grades trades, most valuable pieces first until the outgoing value matches hers. Open one in the machine to tweak it.

Toronto Tempo sendscap-legal · 96% of her value
Temi Fagbenle
open this trade in the machine →
Portland Fire sendscap-legal · 113% of her value
Karlie Samuelson
open this trade in the machine →
Los Angeles Sparks sendscap-legal · 100% of her value
Chance Gray
open this trade in the machine →

A starting point, not a prediction — each package is the fewest fair pieces by model value, and a real deal would flex around roster fit and both front offices. “Needs a filler” means the salaries don't yet fit under the cap without another piece.

Seattle Storm teammates

Aging comps

The closest player-seasons in league history (1997–2025) to her current age, per-36 profile, and role — the careers her projection walks alongside.

  • Charde Houston · 2013 · age 28
  • Bria Holmes · 2021 · age 28
  • Ashley Battle · 2009 · age 28

Durability context: 60% of her 40 nearest comps had no qualified season two years on — projection ranges assume she's still playing.

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