Los Angeles Sparks · G · 2026 stats, contract & trade value
Add Atkins to the Trade Machine →Over her deal through 2028, Atkins is producing 23.5 pts below what her salary should buy — contract surplus averages every remaining year, with future seasons projected on the league aging curve and discounted.
Projected per stat on the fitted league aging curves (scoring fades, rebounding holds, minutes drive late decline) — 4,700 player-seasons, 1997–2025. Ranges are 10th–90th percentile from held-out backtest error.
| Season | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TOV | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | WAS | 29 | 22.5 | 11.3 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 43.2% | 35.7% | 82.4% |
| 2019 | WAS | 33 | 24.4 | 10.3 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 41.6% | 35.7% | 81.1% |
| 2020 | WAS | 22 | 31.0 | 14.8 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 43.8% | 41.1% | 88.6% |
| 2021 | WAS | 30 | 30.6 | 16.2 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 40.7% | 35.9% | 83.1% |
| 2022 | WAS | 36 | 30.0 | 14.6 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 42.0% | 36.5% | 84.5% |
| 2023 | WAS | 27 | 25.2 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 41.4% | 33.9% | 89.7% |
| 2024 | WAS | 40 | 29.9 | 14.9 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 43.7% | 35.7% | 84.8% |
| 2025 | CHI | 34 | 28.5 | 13.1 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 44.4% | 36.1% | 86.0% |
| 2026 | LA | 31 | 27.7 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 37.9% | 30.6% | 92.9% |
| Season | Talent | PPG | RPG | APG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 42 | 10.0 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 2028 | 39 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 3.0 |
Future-year talent figures above are projections on the league aging curve (fit from 4,692 player-seasons, 1997–2025), not measurements — they fade in the display because they should.How the projections work →
Her attribute profile scored against each team's current roster deficits — where she'd fill the biggest hole, not just where she'd be fun.
A fair package each interested team would have to send for Ariel Atkins — assembled and priced by the same engine that grades trades, most valuable pieces first until the outgoing value matches hers. Open one in the machine to tweak it.
A starting point, not a prediction — each package is the fewest fair pieces by model value, and a real deal would flex around roster fit and both front offices. “Needs a filler” means the salaries don't yet fit under the cap without another piece.
The closest player-seasons in league history (1997–2025) to her current age, per-36 profile, and role — the careers her projection walks alongside.
