WNBAGM

Holly Winterburn

Portland Fire · G · 2026 stats, contract & trade value

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Talent score
20
#191 in the W
Trade value
20
#191 in the W
Contract surplus
+0.0
talent vs. salary expectation
Position
G
Talent & trade value 20–9966+ star40–65 rotationunder 40 fringe

In 2026, Winterburn is outproducing her contract by 0.0 pts of talent. She's a free agent after this season, so the figure reflects her 2026 salary alone.

Holly Winterburn headshot

Holly Winterburn

20
Portland Fire · G · age 26
Value & contract
Talent
20
Replacement
Trade value
20
Replacement
Surplus
0
Fair value
Talent trend20– flat
954320
LG AVG
Last 30 daysToday
Contract1 yr · $0K gtd
2026$241KNON-GTD
GuaranteedNon-guaranteedTeam option

Box scoreper game · 29 GP

Below the >70%-of-team-games qualified cutoff — percentiles are indicative, still ranked against the qualified pool.

PoorGreatpercentile vs qualified
Points
14
4.0
Assists
55
1.8
Rebounds
13
1.4
Usage
63
19.5 %
Efficiency
17
49 % TS
A balanced profile without a standout skill; rebounding is the soft spot. Reads as a Replacement-level talent.
Talent outlook
2026
20 talent
2027 · FA
20 proj
20–27
2028 · FA
20 proj
20–26

Projected per stat on the fitted league aging curves (scoring fades, rebounding holds, minutes drive late decline) — 4,700 player-seasons, 1997–2025. Ranges are 10th–90th percentile from held-out backtest error. Years marked FA are past her current deal — projection only.

Career stats
SeasonTeamGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTOVFG%3P%FT%
2026POR2911.24.01.41.80.60.01.139.3%18.9%91.7%
Projected · 2027–2028
SeasonTalentPPGRPGAPG
2027204.01.51.6
2028204.01.51.6

Future-year talent figures above are projections on the league aging curve (fit from 4,692 player-seasons, 1997–2025), not measurements — they fade in the display because they should.How the projections work →

Best team fits

Her attribute profile scored against each team's current roster deficits — where she'd fill the biggest hole, not just where she'd be fun.

New York Liberty26-18 · thinnest in playmaking / ball-handling + perimeter defense · 0.4M space
build this trade · fit score 20
Los Angeles Sparks16-28 · thinnest in playmaking / ball-handling + perimeter defense · 0.5M space
build this trade · fit score 19
Atlanta Dream30-14 · thinnest in scoring + playmaking / ball-handling · 0.4M space
build this trade · fit score 19

What would it take?

The fair package each team would have to send for Holly Winterburn, built and graded by the same engine that grades trades. A deal only appears if it’s cap-legal both ways and lands within one letter grade on both sides — the model’s bar for a fair trade. Sorted by which teams most need her; open one in the machine to tweak it.

Toronto Tempo sendsTOR B- · POR C+
Temi Fagbenle
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New York Liberty sendsNY C+ · POR B-
Raquel Carrera
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Phoenix Mercury sendsPHX B- · POR C+
Sami Whitcomb
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Indiana Fever sendsIND C · POR B-
Sophie Cunningham
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Los Angeles Sparks sendsLA C+ · POR B-
Chance Gray
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Atlanta Dream sendsATL C+ · POR B-
Te-Hina Paopao
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Dallas Wings sendsDAL C+ · POR B-
Odyssey Sims
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Las Vegas Aces sendsLV C+ · POR C+
Stephanie Talbot
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Washington Mystics sendsWSH C+ · POR B-
Lucy Olsen
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Seattle Storm sendsSEA B- · POR C+
Katie Lou Samuelson
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Connecticut Sun sendsCONN B- · POR C+
Kennedy Burke
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Minnesota Lynx sendsMIN C · POR B
Emma Čechová
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Golden State Valkyries sendsGSV C+ · POR B-
Juste Jocyte
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A starting point, not a prediction — each package is the fewest fair pieces the model can assemble, and a real deal would flex around roster fit and both front offices.

Portland Fire teammates

Aging comps

The closest player-seasons in league history (1997–2025) to her current age, per-36 profile, and role — the careers her projection walks alongside.

  • Alexis Jones · 2019 · age 26
  • Grace Berger · 2023 · age 25
  • Erica Wheeler · 2015 · age 25

Durability context: 53% of her 40 nearest comps had no qualified season two years on — projection ranges assume she's still playing.

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