WNBAGM

Chance Gray

Los Angeles Sparks · G · 2026 stats, contract & trade value

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Talent score
24
#148 in the W
Trade value
24
#143 in the W
Contract surplus
+0.0
talent vs. salary expectation
Position
G
Talent & trade value 20–9966+ star40–65 rotationunder 40 fringe

Over her deal through 2029, Gray is outproducing her contract by 0.0 pts of talent — contract surplus averages every remaining year, with future seasons projected on the league aging curve and discounted.

Chance Gray headshot

Chance Gray

24
Los Angeles Sparks · G · age 22
Drafted: 2026 Rd2 Pk24
Value & contract
Talent
24
Replacement
Trade value
24
Replacement
Surplus
0
Fair value
Talent trend24▼ -1
954320
LG AVG
Last 30 daysToday
Contract4 yrs · $0K gtd
2026$270KNON-GTD
2027$289KNON-GTD
2028$317KNON-GTD
2029$359KOPT
GuaranteedNon-guaranteedTeam option

Box scoreper game · 40 GP
PoorGreatpercentile vs qualified
Points
7
3.1
Assists
26
1.0
Rebounds
8
1.1
Usage
10
12.2 %
Efficiency
49
55 % TS
On-court impactwRAPM · 902 poss · 2026-09-13
PoorGreatpercentile vs qualified
Offense
20
−1.3
Defense
44
−0.6

wRAPM — her effect on team net scoring per 100 possessions, adjusted for teammates and opponents.

A balanced profile without a standout skill; scoring is the soft spot. Reads as a Replacement-level talent.
Talent outlook
2026
24 talent
2027
24 proj
20–31
2028
24 proj
20–30
2029
24 proj
20–30

Projected per stat on the fitted league aging curves (scoring fades, rebounding holds, minutes drive late decline) — 4,700 player-seasons, 1997–2025. Ranges are 10th–90th percentile from held-out backtest error.

Career stats
SeasonTeamGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTOVFG%3P%FT%
2026LA4011.53.11.11.00.20.00.637.3%35.9%87.0%
Projected · 2027–2028
SeasonTalentPPGRPGAPG
2027244.11.31.2
2028244.31.41.3

Future-year talent figures above are projections on the league aging curve (fit from 4,692 player-seasons, 1997–2025), not measurements — they fade in the display because they should.How the projections work →

Best team fits

Her attribute profile scored against each team's current roster deficits — where she'd fill the biggest hole, not just where she'd be fun.

Atlanta Dream30-14 · thinnest in scoring + playmaking / ball-handling · 0.4M space
build this trade · fit score 13
New York Liberty26-18 · thinnest in playmaking / ball-handling + perimeter defense · 0.4M space
build this trade · fit score 13
Connecticut Sun11-33 · thinnest in scoring + playmaking / ball-handling · 1.0M space
build this trade · fit score 13

What would it take?

The fair package each team would have to send for Chance Gray, built and graded by the same engine that grades trades. A deal only appears if it’s cap-legal both ways and lands within one letter grade on both sides — the model’s bar for a fair trade. Sorted by which teams most need her; open one in the machine to tweak it.

Phoenix Mercury sendsPHX C · LA B
Jovana Nogić
open this trade in the machine →
New York Liberty sendsNY C+ · LA B-
Rebecca Allen
open this trade in the machine →
Dallas Wings sendsDAL C · LA B-
Maddy Siegrist
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Connecticut Sun sendsCONN C+ · LA B-
Saniya Rivers
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Indiana Fever sendsIND C+ · LA B-
Sophie Cunningham
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Las Vegas Aces sendsLV C · LA B
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus
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Portland Fire sendsPOR C+ · LA C+
Teja Oblak
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Seattle Storm sendsSEA C+ · LA B-
Mackenzie Holmes
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Washington Mystics sendsWSH C · LA B-
Cotie McMahon
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Minnesota Lynx sendsMIN C · LA B
Emma Čechová
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A starting point, not a prediction — each package is the fewest fair pieces the model can assemble, and a real deal would flex around roster fit and both front offices.

Los Angeles Sparks teammates

Aging comps

The closest player-seasons in league history (1997–2025) to her current age, per-36 profile, and role — the careers her projection walks alongside.

  • Ukari Figgs · 1999 · age 23
  • Jaynetta Saunders · 2002 · age 23
  • Sophie Cunningham · 2019 · age 23

Durability context: 57% of her 40 nearest comps had no qualified season two years on — projection ranges assume she's still playing.

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